Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods

Article Economics

Cost allocation in energy distribution networks

David Lowing

Summary: This paper investigates the cost allocation problem in energy distribution and proposes cost allocation rules based on the distribution network and consumer demands. By comparing different principles, a family of mixed rules is introduced and analyzed in terms of solution concepts in multi-choice games.

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

A menu dependent Luce model with a numeraire

John Rehbeck

Summary: This paper proposes a simple extension to analyze the impact of menu complexity on alternative choices and characterizes its mathematical properties. The research shows that, in some cases, people are more likely to choose the default option as the menu size increases. Furthermore, the study relates this model to the class of perturbed utility models.

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Cautious belief and iterated admissibility

Emiliano Catonini, Nicodemo De Vito

Summary: We define notions of cautiousness and cautious belief to provide epistemic conditions for iterated admissibility in finite games. The behavioral implications of these epistemic assumptions are characterized by the solution concept of self-admissible set. We also show analogous results under alternative epistemic assumptions.

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Asset bubble and growth: Elastic labor supply with fiscal policy

Kathia Bahloul Zekkari

Summary: This paper examines the interaction between asset bubbles and endogenous growth, demonstrating the positive impact of asset bubbles on economic growth. Furthermore, it finds that under certain fiscal parameters, asset bubbles can enhance welfare.

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Correlated play in weakest-link and best-shot group contests

Stefano Barbieri, Iryna Topolyan

Summary: In this paper, we explore public randomization in group contests and introduce group public randomization equilibria (GPRE). We find that although there are multiple equilibria, refining the selection process to GPRE immune to coalitional deviations results in a unique equilibrium group-effort distribution, which has the highest expected total effort among all equilibria for identical groups composed of identical agents.

JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Rank-based max-sum tests for mutual independence of high-dimensional random vectors

Hongfei Wang, Binghui Liu, Long Feng, Yanyuan Ma

Summary: This study addresses the problem of testing mutual independence of high-dimensional random vectors and proposes a series of high-dimensional rank-based max-sum tests. Through extensive simulations and real data analysis, the superiority of these tests is demonstrated.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Identification of multi-valued treatment effects with unobserved heterogeneity

Koki Fusejima

Summary: In this paper, sufficient conditions for identifying treatment effects on continuous outcomes are established in endogenous and multi-valued discrete treatment settings with unobserved heterogeneity. The monotonicity assumption for multi-valued discrete treatments and instruments is employed, and the identification condition has a clear economic interpretation. Additionally, the local treatment effects in multi-valued treatment settings are identified, and closed-form expressions of the identified treatment effects are derived.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Causal inference of general treatment effects using neural networks with a diverging number of confounders

Xiaohong Chen, Ying Liu, Shujie Ma, Zheng Zhang

Summary: This paper proposes a generalized optimization framework using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to estimate general treatment effects by adjusting for confounders. The research shows that this method can effectively alleviate the curse of dimensionality.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Semi-parametric single-index predictive regression models with cointegrated regressors

Weilun Zhou, Jiti Gao, David Harris, Hsein Kew

Summary: This paper discusses the estimation of a semi-parametric single-index regression model that allows for nonlinear predictive relationships. The presence of cointegrated predictors balances the nonstationarity properties of the predictors with the stationarity properties of asset returns and avoids the curse of dimensionality. In an empirical application, it is found that using cointegrated predictors produces better out-of-sample forecasts.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

A residual bootstrap for conditional Value-at-Risk

Eric Beutner, Alexander Heinemann, Stephan Smeekes

Summary: This paper proposes a fixed-design residual bootstrap method for the two-step estimator associated with the conditional Value-at-Risk. The consistency of the bootstrap is proven for a general class of volatility models, and intervals are constructed for the conditional Value-at-Risk. Simulation results show that the reversed-tails bootstrap interval provides accurate coverage compared to the equal-tailed percentile bootstrap interval.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Detecting identification failure in moment condition models

Jean-Jacques Forneron

Summary: This paper develops an approach to detect identification failure in moment condition models by introducing a quasi-Jacobian matrix. The quasi-Jacobian matrix is singular when local and/or global identification fails, and equivalent to the usual Jacobian matrix when the model is globally and locally identified. A simple test is introduced to conduct subvector inferences allowing for various levels of identification without prior knowledge about the underlying identification structure.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Matching points: Supplementing instruments with covariates in triangular models

Junlong Feng

Summary: This paper presents a new method for handling models in economics with a discrete endogenous variable and an instrument that takes on fewer values. It matches pairs of covariates and instruments to achieve point-identification of the outcome function. The paper also provides estimators for the outcome function and illustrates the usefulness and limitations of the method through two empirical examples.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Role models and revealed gender-specific costs of STEM in an extended Roy model of major choice

Marc Henry, Romuald Meango, Ismael Mourifie

Summary: This study aims to explore women's choices of university majors, particularly their under representation in mathematics intensive fields and the impact of role models on choices and outcomes. We analyze data from a German graduate survey and use the mother's education level and the proportion of women on the STEM faculty at the time of major choice as selection shifters.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Nonparametric Gini-Frisch bounds

Karim Chalak

Summary: This paper generalizes the Gini-Frisch bounds to accommodate nonparametric heterogeneous effects and provides suitable conditions for their application in nonparametric nonseparable equations.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Tuning parameter-free nonparametric density estimation from tabulated summary data

Ji Hyung Lee, Yuya Sasaki, Alexis Akira Toda, Yulong Wang

Summary: Administrative data, often presented as tabulated summaries for confidentiality reasons, can be more easily accessed in this form. In this study, the authors propose a novel nonparametric density estimation method based on maximum entropy and demonstrate its consistent results. The method does not require tuning parameters and provides a closed-form density for further analysis. The authors apply this method to estimate the income distribution using tabulated summary data from U.S. tax returns.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Analyzing the interest rate risk of equity-indexed annuities via scenario matrices ☆

Sascha Gunther, Peter Hieber

Summary: The financial return of equity-indexed annuities depends on an underlying fund or investment portfolio complemented by an investment guarantee. This study introduces a novel scenario-matrix method for valuation and risk management, specifically for the cliquet-style or ratchet-type guarantee. Numerical tests show that this method outperforms existing approaches in terms of computation time and accuracy.

INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Asymptotic results on tail moment for light-tailed risks

Bingjie Wang, Jinzhu Li

Summary: This paper focuses on the asymptotic behavior of a popular risk measure called the tail moment (TM). The study reveals precise asymptotic results for the TM under scenarios where individual risks are mutually independent or have a specific dependence structure. Furthermore, the article provides an analysis of the relative errors between the asymptotic results and the exact values.

INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS (2024)

Article Economics

Inference in models with partially identified control functions

Andres Aradillas-Lopez

Summary: This paper focuses on how to make inferences using control-function bounds when the control functions are unobserved, and analyzes the properties of this inferential procedure.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Systematic staleness

Federico M. Bandi, Davide Pirino, Roberto Reno

Summary: The article examines the staleness of asset prices, including systematic (market-wide) staleness and idiosyncratic (asset specific) staleness. The authors provide a limit theory based on joint asymptotics, utilizing increasingly-frequent observations and an increasing number of assets. They introduce novel structural estimates of systematic and idiosyncratic measures of liquidity obtained solely from transaction prices, and assess the economic signal contained in these estimates using suitable metrics.

JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS (2024)

Article Economics

Fitting Tweedie's compound Poisson model to pure premium with the EM algorithm

Guangyuan Gao

Summary: This article proposes a new method for fitting the Tweedie model, which uses the EM algorithm to address heterogeneous dispersion and estimate the power variance parameter.

INSURANCE MATHEMATICS & ECONOMICS (2024)