期刊
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
卷 23, 期 6, 页码 1488-1500出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2013.09.014
关键词
Climate change; Global warming; Risk perception; Experience; Motivated reasoning; Spatial analysis; Survey research
资金
- National Science Foundation [1102785]
- Association of American Geographers
- Surdna Foundation
- 11th Hour Project
- Grantham Foundation for the Protection of the Environment
- Division Of Behavioral and Cognitive Sci
- Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie [1102785] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
This paper explores the phenomenon of local climate perception and the extent to which public perceptions match climate conditions as recorded in instrumental climate data. We further examine whether perceptions of changes in local climates are influenced by prior beliefs about global warming, through the process of motivated reasoning. Using national survey data collected in the United States in 2011, we find that subjective experiences of seasonal average temperature and precipitation during the previous winter and summer were related to recorded conditions during each season. Beliefs about global warming also had significant effects on subjective experiences with above-normal temperatures, particularly among those who believed that global warming is not happening. When asked about the summer of 2010, those who believed that global warming is not happening were significantly less likely to report that they had experienced a warmer-than-normal summer, even when controlling for demographics and local climate conditions. These results suggest that the subjective experience of local climate change is dependent not only on external climate conditions, but also on individual beliefs, with perceptions apparently biased by prior beliefs about global warming. (C) 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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