期刊
GLOBAL ENVIRONMENTAL CHANGE-HUMAN AND POLICY DIMENSIONS
卷 21, 期 -, 页码 S21-S33出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2011.09.008
关键词
International migration; Climate change; Demographic effects; Demographic transition and migration
This paper examines global demographic change as a driver of migration within the context of anticipated climate change. It begins by briefly considering some theoretical formulations which relate demographic change and migration. It then considers evolving global demographic trends and discusses some of their potential impacts upon migration. It is shown that there is a close spatial coincidence between demographic and climate change hotspots that will influence migration in complex ways. It then turns to the complex interaction between demographic change, environmental change and migration, both in the past and potential developments in the future. It concludes with a discussion of the potential impacts of future trends and their policy implications. (C) 2011 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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