期刊
GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE
卷 110, 期 -, 页码 26-39出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2013.05.008
关键词
climate change; regional climate modeling; Central Asia
资金
- German Federal Foreign Office, Berlin Process [AA7090002]
- German Research Foundation (DFG) [PAK 393]
- European Union [511179 (GOCE)]
The high-resolution regional climate model (RCM) REMO has been implemented over the region of Central Asia, including western China. A model run forced by reanalysis data (1/2 degrees resolution), and two runs forced by a GCM (one run with 1/2 degrees and one run with 1/6 degrees resolution) have been realized. The model has been evaluated regarding its ability to simulate the mean climate of the period 1971-2000. It has been found that the spatial pattern of mean temperature and precipitation is simulated well by REMO. The REMO simulations are often closer to observational data than reanalysis data are, and show considerably higher spatial detail. The GCM-forced simulations extend to the year 2100 under the A1B scenario. The climate change signal of temperature is largest in winter in the northern part of the study area and over mountainous terrain. A warming up to 7 C is projected until the end of the 21st century. In summer, warming is strongest over the southern part of Central Asia. Changes in precipitation are spatially more heterogeneous. (C) 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据