期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 40, 期 19, 页码 5212-5217出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/grl.50956
关键词
CMIP5; soil moisture; feedbacks; climate extremes; land-atmosphere interactions; projections
资金
- EU-FP7 EMBRACE project (European Commission's 7th Framework Programme) [282672]
- National Science Foundation (NSF) [AGS-1035968, AGS-1035843]
- WCRP's GEWEX Land-Atmosphere System Study (GLASS)
- IGBP's Integrated Land-Ecosystem-Atmosphere Processes Study (ILEAPS)
The Global Land-Atmosphere Climate Experiment-Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (GLACE-CMIP5) is a multimodel experiment investigating the impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks in CMIP5 projections. We present here first GLACE-CMIP5 results based on five Earth System Models, focusing on impacts of projected changes in regional soil moisture dryness (mostly increases) on late 21st century climate. Projected soil moisture changes substantially impact climate in several regions in both boreal and austral summer. Strong and consistent effects are found on temperature, especially for extremes (about 1-1.5K for mean temperature and 2-2.5K for extreme daytime temperature). In the Northern Hemisphere, effects on mean and heavy precipitation are also found in most models, but the results are less consistent than for temperature. A direct scaling between soil moisture-induced changes in evaporative cooling and resulting changes in temperature mean and extremes is found in the simulations. In the Mediterranean region, the projected soil moisture changes affect about 25% of the projected changes in extreme temperature.
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