4.7 Article

Quantifying recent acceleration in sea level unrelated to internal climate variability

期刊

GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 40, 期 14, 页码 3661-3666

出版社

AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1002/grl.50731

关键词

sea level; acceleration; tide gauge; internal climate variability; external forcing

资金

  1. Marie Curie International Outgoing Fellowship (IOF) within the 7th European Community Framework Programme [PIOF-GA-2010-275851]
  2. NASA Interdisciplinary Science Sponsored Research program
  3. Natural Environment Research Council [noc010012] Funding Source: researchfish

向作者/读者索取更多资源

Sea level observations suggest that the rate of sea level rise has accelerated during the last 20years. However, the presence of considerable decadal-scale variability, especially on a regional scale, makes it difficult to assess whether the observed changes are due to natural or anthropogenic causes. Here we use a regression model with atmospheric pressure, wind, and climate indices as independent variables to quantify the contribution of internal climate variability to the sea level at nine tide gauges from around the world for the period 1920-2011. Removing this contribution reveals a statistically significant acceleration (0.022 +/- 0.015mm/yr(2)) between 1952 and 2011, which is unique over the whole period. Furthermore, we have found that the acceleration is increasing over time. This acceleration appears to be the result of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, along with changes in volcanic forcing and tropospheric aerosol loading.

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