4.7 Article

Constructing road safety performance indicators using Fuzzy Delphi Method and Grey Delphi Method

期刊

EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS
卷 38, 期 3, 页码 1509-1514

出版社

PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2010.07.062

关键词

Safety performance indicator; Fuzzy Delphi Method; Grey Delphi Method; Regional road safety; Urban road safety; Highway safety

资金

  1. National Key Technology R&D Program of the People's Republic of China [2007BAK35B06]
  2. Natural Science Foundation of China [50878026]

向作者/读者索取更多资源

The main goal of this paper is to construct three sets of road safety performance indicators, which are regional road safety performance indicators, urban road safety performance indicators and highway safety performance indicators, respectively. Fuzzy Delphi Method and Grey Delphi Method are applied to quantify experts' attitudes to regional road safety, urban road safety and highway safety. Comparing the results of two methods, the different results of two methods are analyzed, and then the final safety performance indicators are obtained by taking the intersection of results of two methods. Finally, three sets of performance indicators are constructed, which can be described and evaluated the safety level of region, urban road and highway, respectively. The research findings show that the method used in this paper is feasible and practical and can be provided as a reference for the administrative authority of road safety. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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