4.5 Article

Transmission dynamics and control of Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria, July to September 2014

期刊

EUROSURVEILLANCE
卷 19, 期 40, 页码 11-17

出版社

EUR CENTRE DIS PREVENTION & CONTROL
DOI: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.40.20920

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资金

  1. Lundbeck Foundation
  2. Research And Policy for Infectious Disease Dynamics program (RAPIDD) of the United States Department of Homeland Security
  3. Office of Pandemics and Emerging Threats at the United States Department of Health and Human Services
  4. NSF as part of the joint NSF-NIH-USDA Ecology and Evolution of Infectious Diseases programme, United Kingdom Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council grant [BB/M008894/1, 1318788, 1414374]
  5. Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, The Fogarty International Center, United States National Institutes of Health
  6. BBSRC [BB/M008894/1] Funding Source: UKRI
  7. Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council [BB/M008894/1] Funding Source: researchfish
  8. Div Of Information & Intelligent Systems
  9. Direct For Computer & Info Scie & Enginr [1318788] Funding Source: National Science Foundation

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We analyse up-to-date epidemiological data of the Ebola virus disease outbreak in Nigeria as of 1 October 2014 in order to estimate the case fatality rate, the proportion of healthcare workers infected and the transmission tree. We also model the impact of control interventions on the size of the epidemic. Results indicate that Nigeria's quick and forceful implementation of control interventions was determinant in controlling the outbreak rapidly and avoiding a far worse scenario in this country.

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