期刊
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION
卷 139, 期 3, 页码 391-399出版社
CAMBRIDGE UNIV PRESS
DOI: 10.1017/S0950268810000713
关键词
Dengue; LISA; Moran's I; spatial analysis; spatial empirical Bayes smoothing
资金
- National Health and Medical Research Council, Australia [519 788]
This study aimed to investigate the spatial clustering and dynamic dispersion of dengue incidence in Queensland, Australia. We used Moran's I statistic to assess the spatial autocorrelation of reported dengue cases. Spatial empirical Bayes smoothing estimates were used to display the spatial distribution of dengue in postal areas throughout Queensland. Local indicators of spatial association (LISA) maps and logistic regression models were used to identify spatial clusters and examine the spatio-temporal patterns of the spread of dengue. The results indicate that the spatial distribution of dengue was clustered during each of the three periods of 1993-1996, 1997-2000 and 2001-2004. The high-incidence clusters of dengue were primarily concentrated in the north of Queensland and low-incidence clusters occurred in the south-east of Queensland. The study concludes that the geographical range of notified dengue cases has significantly expanded in Queensland over recent years.
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