期刊
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH
卷 25, 期 28, 页码 28367-28377出版社
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s11356-018-2805-5
关键词
PM10; BenMAP; Health benefit; Economic benefit; China
资金
- National key R&D program of China [2016YFC0201700]
- Nature Science Foundation of Tianjin [16JCQNJC08600]
- Chinese Academy of Sciences and Tianjin City cooperation project [16YFXTSF00330]
- Cultivation plan of young and middle-aged creative talent people in the universities of Tianjin, China
- Cultivation plan of excellent youth innovation team of Tianjin normal university, China
With the rapidly booming economy, China has been suffering from serious particulate matter (PM) pollution in recent years. In order to improve the air quality, Chinese government issued a new China National Ambient Air Quality Standard (No. GB3095-2012) in 2012. In this study, PM10 exposure level was simulated based on the data of 912 newly constructed monitoring sites and Voronoi Neighborhood Averaging (VNA) interpolation method. It is widely accepted that PM10 can cause short-term health effects. We calculated the short-term health benefit due to decreasing PM10 concentration to the levels of China National Ambient Air Quality Standard based on Environmental Benefits Mapping and Analysis Program (BenMAP). Our results indicated that if the daily average concentration of PM10 reduced to the daily Grade II standard (150g/m(3)), the avoided deaths for all cause, cardiovascular disease, and respiratory disease would be 82,000 (95%CI: 49,000-120,000), 56,000 (95%CI: 34,000-78,000), and 16,000 (95%CI: 10,000-22,000) in 2014, respectively. The economic benefits of avoiding deaths due to all cause for rolling back the concentration of PM10 to the level of 50g/m(3) were estimated to be 240 billion CNY and 16 billion CNY using willingness to pay (WTP) and human capital (HC) methods, respectively, which accounted for 0.38% (95%CI: 0.11-0.64%) and 0.03% (95%CI: 0.02-0.03%) of the total annual gross domestic product (GDP) of China in 2014.
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