期刊
ENTERPRISE INFORMATION SYSTEMS
卷 7, 期 4, 页码 558-568出版社
TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/17517575.2012.698022
关键词
enterprise systems; financial enterprise systems; IIIE; gold market; gold price; long-term determinants
The use of enterprise systems has become increasingly popular in the financial service industry. This paper discusses the applications of enterprise systems in the financial sectors and presents an application in gold price forecasting. We carefully examine the impacts of a few most widely assumed factors that have significant impact on the long-term gold price using statistical regression techniques. The analysis on our proposed linear regression mode indicates that the United States ultra scale of M2 money supply has been the most important catalyst for the rising price of gold, and the CRB index upward trend has also been the weighty factor for pushing up the gold price. In addition, the gold price has a low negative correlation with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, and low positive correlations with the US dollar index and the gold ETFs holdings.
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