期刊
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH
卷 81, 期 12, 页码 2139-2146出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE SA
DOI: 10.1016/j.epsr.2011.08.009
关键词
Non-parametric density estimation; Probability density function; Wind energy; Planning; Wind farm; Wind speed
资金
- Scientific Research Foundation of the State Key Laboratory of Power Transmission Equipment & System Security and New Technology in China [2007DA10512710201, 2007DA10512709202]
Accurate estimation of long term wind speed probability distribution is a fundamental and challenging task in wind energy planning. This paper proposes a nonparametric kernel density estimation method for wind speed probability distribution, The proposed method is compared with ten conventional parametric distribution models for wind speed that have been presented in literatures so far. The results demonstrate that the proposed non-parametric estimation is more accurate and has better adaptability than any conventional parametric distribution for wind speed. (C) 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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