期刊
ECOLOGY LETTERS
卷 14, 期 5, 页码 484-492出版社
WILEY
DOI: 10.1111/j.1461-0248.2011.01610.x
关键词
Bioclimatic envelope models; climate change; conservation planning; gap analysis; Natura 2000 networks; protected areas
类别
P>Europe has the world's most extensive network of conservation areas. Conservation areas are selected without taking into account the effects of climate change. How effectively would such areas conserve biodiversity under climate change? We assess the effectiveness of protected areas and the Natura 2000 network in conserving a large proportion of European plant and terrestrial vertebrate species under climate change. We found that by 2080, 58 +/- 2.6% of the species would lose suitable climate in protected areas, whereas losses affected 63 +/- 2.1% of the species of European concern occurring in Natura 2000 areas. Protected areas are expected to retain climatic suitability for species better than unprotected areas (P < 0.001), but Natura 2000 areas retain climate suitability for species no better and sometimes less effectively than unprotected areas. The risk is high that ongoing efforts to conserve Europe's biodiversity are jeopardized by climate change. New policies are required to avert this risk.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据