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Estimating the Burden of 2009 Pandemic Influenza A (H1N1) in the United States (April 2009-April 2010)

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CLINICAL INFECTIOUS DISEASES
卷 52, 期 -, 页码 S75-S82

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OXFORD UNIV PRESS INC
DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciq012

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  1. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

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To calculate the burden of 2009 pandemic influenza A (pH1N1) in the United States, we extrapolated from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Emerging Infections Program laboratory-confirmed hospitalizations across the entire United States, and then corrected for underreporting. From 12 April 2009 to 10 April 2010, we estimate that approximately 60.8 million cases (range: 43.3-89.3 million), 274 304 hospitalizations (195 086-402 719), and 12 469 deaths (8868-18 306) occurred in the United States due to pH1N1. Eighty-seven percent of deaths occurred in those under 65 years of age with children and working adults having risks of hospitalization and death 4 to 7 times and 8 to 12 times greater, respectively, than estimates of impact due to seasonal influenza covering the years 1976-2001. In our study, adults 65 years of age or older were found to have rates of hospitalization and death that were up to 75% and 81%, respectively, lower than seasonal influenza. These results confirm the necessity of a concerted public health response to pH1N1.

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