期刊
CLIMATIC CHANGE
卷 109, 期 3-4, 页码 245-260出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-9944-0
关键词
-
资金
- AXA Chair on Large Risks in Insurance (Fondation du Risque)
Extremal events are difficult to model since it is difficult to characterize formally those events. The 2003 heat wave in Europe was not characterized by very high temperatures, but mainly the fact that night temperature were no cool enough for a long period of time. Hence, simulation of several models (either with heavy tailed noise or long range dependence) yield different estimations for the return period of that extremal event.
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