期刊
AGROFORESTRY SYSTEMS
卷 54, 期 2, 页码 121-135出版社
SPRINGER
DOI: 10.1023/A:1015080728895
关键词
dynamic modelling; risk-efficient frontier; small-holder agroforestry; stochastic analysis
A simplified version of the BEAM Rubber Agroforestry Model is embedded in a dynamic economic model to examine the impact of uncertainty about prices and climate on decision variables. Solutions, in terms of optimal levels for decision variables are found using a Monte Carlo stochastic framework. These solutions were used to derive risk-efficient frontiers corresponding to different levels of the decision variables. The results underline the importance of including uncertainty in dynamic bioeconomic systems since profits under uncertainty turned out to be quite different from those obtained with prices and climate assumed to be constant.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据