期刊
COLD REGIONS SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
卷 37, 期 3, 页码 343-355出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/S0165-232X(03)00075-2
关键词
avalanche forecasting; avalanches; computer models; hypothesis testing
This paper describes a nearest neighbours model used operationally for avalanche forecasting in Scotland. Results are presented as contingency tables and in terms of a range of categorical statistics suggesting that the model performs well in comparison with other models, although avalanche events are overforecast. Genetic algorithms are described as a technique for calculating variable weights and shown to provide an effective mechanism for objectively calculating weights. The model is discussed in the context of conventional avalanche forecasting, and it is proposed that the range of visualisations provided to the user can facilitate hypothesis testing. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据