期刊
ENERGY POLICY
卷 35, 期 6, 页码 3121-3125出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2006.12.017
关键词
market development; silicon feedstock; thin films
The photovoltaic industry has been growing with astonishing rates over the past years. The supply of silicon to the wafer-based industry has recently become a problem. This paper presents a thorough analysis of the PV industry and quantifies the silicon shortage. It is expected that this leads to a decrease in production in 2006 rather than the usual increase. Due to a mismatch in expansion plans of silicon feedstock manufacturers and solar cell manufacturers, a large cell overcapacity will persist up to 2010. The thin-film PV market is expected to profit from the silicon shortage problem; its market share may substantially increase to about 25% in 2010. (c) 2007 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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