Growth-climate relationships for six subalpine tree species in a Mediterranean climate

A better understanding of the growth-climate relationship for subalpine trees is key to improving predictions about their future distributions under climate change. In subalpine regions of Mediterranean mountains, drought is an annual event, yet many sites can have long-lasting snowpack. We analyzed the growth-climate relationship from 1896 to 2006 for the six most abundant subalpine tree species (red fir (Abies magnifica A. Murray bis), whitebark pine (Pinus albicaulis Engelm.), Sierra/Cascade lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta var. murrayana (Balf.) Engelm.), Jeffrey pine (Pinus jeffreyi Balf.), western white pine (Pinus monticola Douglas ex D. Don), and mountain hemlock (Tsuga mertensiana (Bong.) Carriere)) of the central Sierra Nevada, California, USA, a region with deep spring snowpack followed by strong summer drought. Chronologies for the six species exhibited a high degree of synchrony in their response to annual fluctuations in temperature and precipitation. For all six species, cool, wet conditions in the year prior to growth are conducive to good radial growth, as well as warm springs with sufficient moisture during the year of growth. For species more common on protected slopes, such as mountain hemlock, deep spring snowpack can limit growth. Although predictions of future precipitation trends in the region are uncertain, drought stress appears to already be increasing. If this trend continues, radial growth is likely to be inhibited for most or all species in our study. Trees growing where snowpack is deep may be least likely to suffer reduced growth.