Probabilistic Analysis Using High Dimensional Model Representation and Fast Fourier Transform

This paper presents an efficient probabilistic analysis method for predicting component reliability of structural/mechanical systems subject to random loads, material properties, and geometry. The proposed method involves High Dimensional Model Representation (HDMR) for the limit state/performance function approximation and fast Fourier transform for solving the convolution integral. The limit state/performance function approximation is obtained by linear and quadratic approximations of the firstorder HDMR component functions at most probable point. In the proposed method, efforts are required in evaluating conditional responses at a selected input determined by sample points, as compared to full- scale simulation methods. Therefore, the proposed technique estimates the failure probability accurately with significantly less computational effort compared to the direct Monte Carlo simulation. The methodology developed is applicable for structural reliability estimation involving any number of random variableswith any kind of distribution. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated through five examples involving explicit/implicit performance functions.