期刊
TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING AND SOCIAL CHANGE
卷 81, 期 -, 页码 39-48出版社
ELSEVIER SCIENCE INC
DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2012.09.010
关键词
Science and Technology (S&T) planning; Four dimensional planning; Technology roadmapping; Bibliometrics; Patent analysis; Solar cells
资金
- Direct For Social, Behav & Economic Scie [1064146] Funding Source: National Science Foundation
Seemingly endless new technologies are emerging. Mapping out Science and Technology (S&T) planning correctly on the national level would help innovation shareholders remain current on technological development trends and gain an advantageous position among the fierce future competition of the global market. Thus, formulating effective S&T planning is significant for a nation, especially for new and emerging technologies. This paper proposes an industry S&T planning framework. Different from previous frameworks, this methodology's dynamic is directed in four dimensions (nation, technology, industry, risks and impacts), tries to find the key elements in a specific technology area, and aims to aid in national S&T planning. China's solar cell industry is employed as the case study. (C) 2012 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
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