期刊
ANNALS OF TOURISM RESEARCH
卷 80, 期 -, 页码 -出版社
PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.annals.2019.102811
关键词
Terrorism; Tourism; Safety; Substitution effects; Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive model
资金
- FCT -the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology [UID/ECO/00124/2013, 22209, UID/Multi/04016/2019, UID/GEO/04084/2019, LISBOA-01-0145-FEDER-007722]
- FCT [SFRH/BPD/109245/2015]
- Nova School of Business and Economics
- CEGOT -Geography and Spatial Planning Research Centre
- CI&DETS Centre for the Study of Education, Technologies and Health
This longitudinal study examines the impact that terrorist attacks within a representative group of European countries can have on the tourism demand of a South European country with no record of terrorism attacks. In order to analyze the connections between terrorist attacks and tourists' arrivals, occurred between 2002 and the end of 2016, an Unrestricted Vector Autoregressive model was used for multivariate time series analysis. The main results show that terrorist attacks have a strong impact on tourist arrivals and confirm the existence of terrorism spillover, namely the substitution and generalization effects phenomena.
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