Development of a dose-response relationship for Escherichia coli O157:H7

E. coli O157:H7 is an emerging food and waterborne pathogen. The development of acceptable guidelines for exposure to this organism based on quantitative microbial risk assessment requires a dose response curve. In this study, a prior animal study was used to develop a dose response relationship. The data was adequately fit by the beta-Poisson dose response relationship. This relationship was validated with reference to two outbreaks of this organism. It was found that the low dose extrapolation of the animal data using the beta-Poisson relationship provided estimates of risk concordant with those noted in the outbreaks. The fitted dose response relationship in conjunction with population estimates of the prevalence of E. coli O157:H7 illness indicates that the overall exposure is quite low in the US. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.