期刊
REVISTA DE SAUDE PUBLICA
卷 34, 期 3, 页码 214-222出版社
REVISTA DE SAUDE PUBLICA
DOI: 10.1590/S0034-89102000000300002
关键词
malaria, transmission; Anopheles, parasitology; Plasmodium, physiology; temperature.; socio-economic factors; epidemiology models; insect vectors; host parasite relations
Objective To show how a mathematical model can be used to describe and to understand the malaria transmission. Methods The effects on malaria transmission due to the impact of the global temperature changes and prevailing social and economic conditions in a community were assessed based on a previously presented compartmental model, which describes the overall transmission of malaria. Results/Conclusions The assessments were made from the scenarios produced by the model both in steady state and dynamic analyses. Depending on the risk lever of malaria, the effects on malaria transmission can be predicted by the temperature ambient or local social and-economic conditions.
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