Distributions for storm surge extremes

The present paper is an attempt to assess a variety of potential probabilistic models for the meteorologically driven storm surge component of a long term water level observation record at Sandy Hook, New Jersey. Simple assumptions are made with regard to the record, and the fitting of the extreme values of the data are assessed graphically in observation space for determining quality of fit in the upper tail of the data. Results are presented which show a comparison of typical distributions utilized along with some distributions not before utilized for coastal storm surge. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.