4.5 Article

A dynamic model of salinization on irrigated lands

期刊

ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
卷 139, 期 2-3, 页码 177-199

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ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/S0304-3800(01)00242-3

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salinization; irrigation; simulation modeling; system dynamics method

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A dynamic simulation model of salt accumulation on irrigated lands is presented. The original version of the model is part of a large-scale socio-economic model of irrigation-based regional development. The model introduced in this paper is a systemic one in the sense that it integrates four major sub-processes of rootzone salinization: irrigation, drainage, groundwater discharge and groundwater intrusion. It provides a comprehensive and general description of the long-term process of salt accumulation in lowlands under continuous irrigation practice, where irrigated lands are annually increased. Analysis of the model and simulation results reveal, under what conditions the salinity reaches alarming levels and with what strategies it can be controlled. For instance, in situations where the mixing of drainage water into irrigation water supplies is high, rootzone salinity quickly reaches alarming levels. More importantly, in this setting, the typical strategy of increasing the drainage in order to control the salinity level yields unprecedented exponentially growing salinity levels, a catastrophic result for the agriculture. The model structure can represent the basin wide salinization process on different geographical settings in agricultural development. In general, the model provides an experimental simulation platform, which can be used by the policy makers in the long term strategic management of large scale irrigation development projects. The model can also be of interest to the students and learners in teaching and research, in the related fields of environmental sciences. (C) 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

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