A simulation model for environmental population densities, survival rates and prevalence of Boophilus decoloratus (Acari: ixodidae) using remotely sensed environmental information

A simulation model for the African tick Boophilus decoloratus is presented. This model is based on the use of a dynamic life table that is driven by abiotic variables (temperature and vegetation status) remotely sensed (AVHRR sensor of the NOAA series of satellites) over time. The model incorporates temperature-dependent rates of egg production and development, climate-driven density-independent mortality rates, and density-dependent regulation of on-host stages. The model successfully describes both the seasonality and annual variation in the numbers of questing larvae and engorging females observed in eight sites throughout sub-Saharan Africa. Climate data from 1983 to 1999 in 10-day intervals are used as the basic input for modelling the dynamic patterns of activity at four different sites in Africa and to understand how abiotic factors can modulate the long-term life cycle of B. decoloratus. (C) 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.