期刊
JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY
卷 54, 期 3, 页码 291-298出版社
PALGRAVE PUBLISHERS LTD
DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2601491
关键词
higher-order Markov model; Newsboy's model; shortage cost; overage cost
Markov models are commonly used in modelling many practical systems such as telecommunication systems, manufacturing systems and inventory systems. However, higher-order Markov models are not commonly used in practice because of their huge number of states and parameters that lead to computational difficulties. In this paper, we propose a higher-order Markov model whose number of states and parameters are linear with respect to the order of the model. We also develop efficient estimation methods for the model parameters. We then apply the model and method to solve the generalised Newsboy's problem. Numerical examples with applications to production planning are given to illustrate the power of our proposed model.
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