期刊
POPULATION STUDIES-A JOURNAL OF DEMOGRAPHY
卷 57, 期 1, 页码 41-54出版社
ROUTLEDGE TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/0032472032000061712
关键词
mortality measurement; cohort analysis; period analysis; length of life; life expectancy; population dynamics; population growth; population momentum
类别
This paper presents a summary mortality index, the cross-sectional average length of life (CAL). By combining the mortality experience of various cohorts in a cross-sectional fashion, CAL complements traditional one-period or one-cohort indexes and enriches our understanding of population processes. First, CAL provides an alternative insight into the analysis of mortality. By taking into account the real mortality conditions to which individuals in a population have been subject, it tends to yield less favourable mortality levels than e(0) and produces different rankings of mortality levels across countries. Second, CAL is a relevant index for the study of population dynamics. In particular, change in CAL over time shows the direct impact of mortality change on population growth, and the e(0)/CAL ratio for a given year shows the mortality-induced growth that can be expected given current mortality levels. It illustrates that mortality can play a non-negligible role in future population growth, even in the absence of future mortality improvements.
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