期刊
SCIENCE
卷 300, 期 5627, 页码 1966-1970出版社
AMER ASSOC ADVANCEMENT SCIENCE
DOI: 10.1126/science.1086616
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资金
- NIAID NIH HHS [R01 AI 32475, R01 AI 48935, R21 AI 55825, K08 AI055985-01A1, K08 AI055985, R01 AI 46669, T32 AI07433] Funding Source: Medline
Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) is a recently described illness of humans that has spread widely over the past 6 months. With the use of detailed epidemiologic data from Singapore and epidemic curves from other settings, we estimated the reproductive number for SARS in the absence of interventions and in the presence of control efforts. We estimate that a single infectious case of SARS will infect about three secondary cases in a population that has not yet instituted control measures. Public-health efforts to reduce transmission are expected to have a substantial impact on reducing the size of the epidemic.
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