期刊
CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN
卷 49, 期 12, 页码 1296-1300出版社
SCIENCE CHINA PRESS
DOI: 10.1360/03wd0497
关键词
analogy-dynamical model; monthly prediction experiment; ensemble mean
Based on the past related research work, a new analogy-dynamical monthly prediction model is established with the operational dynamic extended-range forecast model T63L16 (hereafter T63) as a dynamic kernel. The monthly mean circulation prediction with T63 is considered as a control experiment, and the prediction with the analogy-dynamical model as a contrast one. It is found that the analogy-dynamical model has more precise forecast skill than the T63 model through monthly mean numerical prediction experiment.
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