4.6 Article Proceedings Paper

Statistical models for operational risk management

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ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.02.039

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Bayesian networks; operational risk management; predictive models; value at risk

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The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision has released, in the last few years, recommendations for the correct determination of the risks to which a banking organization is subject. This concerns, in particular, operational risks, which are all those management events that may determine unexpected losses. It is necessary to develop valid statistical models to measure and, consequently, predict, such operational risks. In the paper we present the possible approaches, including our own proposal, which is based on Bayesian networks. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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