Cytokeratin 19 is a powerful predictor of survival in pancreatic endocrine tumors

The prediction of the behavior of pancreatic endocrine tumors (PETs) is a difficult exercise. CK19, a marker of pancreatic ductal cells, does not stain normal islet cells. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic value of traditional parameters, including the Capella classification, as well as CK19. We evaluated the clinicopathologic features of 101 curatively resected PETs. The influence on survival of size, functional status of tumor, growth pattern, nuclear grade, mitoses (>2/10 HPF), vascular and perineural invasion, and necrosis was determined. Immunohistochemistry for Ki-67 and CK19 was performed in 45 and 54 cases, respectively. Cases were categorized as per the Capella classification as: benign, borderline, low-grade, and high-grade malignant. The different variables were tested by standard univariate and multivariate analyses. Mitoses (P = 0.03), solid pattern (P = 0.04), necrosis (P = 0.01), vascular invasion (P = 0.003), perineural invasion (P = 0.02), CK19 staining (P = 0.0008), and Ki-67 (P = 0.02) were significant prognostic indicators by univariate analysis while the Capella classification was not significant. By multivariate analysis, only CK19 was significant (P = 0.0008). None of the CK19-negative cases died of disease, while 10 of 28 CK19-positive cases died of disease and 3 are alive with disease. The Capella classification includes malignant tumors in its benign and borderline categories. CK19 is a powerful predictor of survival and can potentially segregate benign and malignant PETs. We suggest that all PETs with any one of the following features be diagnosed as malignant: presence of necrosis, vascular invasion, perineural invasion, or CK19 positivity. We hypothesize that a subgroup of PETs may share a common histogenesis with pancreatic adenocarcinomas.