期刊
GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
卷 32, 期 5, 页码 -出版社
AMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
DOI: 10.1029/2004GL021217
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The magnitude of tropical cooling during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) has been the subject of uncertainty for over 25 years. We use principles of meta-analysis as an objective approach to reconcile estimates from different proxies. This approach treats each observation as a random estimate of the true mean and weights estimates by their reported precision. We assigned global uncertainties to proxies and derived a new regional standard deviation for temperatures calculated from the Sr/Ca ratio in tropical corals (sigma = 1.4 degrees C). Using a Bayesian spatial interpolation scheme, we estimate a mean cooling of LGM tropical sea surface temperatures of -2.7 +/- 0.5 degrees C (+/-sigma) and surface air temperatures of -5.4 +/- 0.3 degrees C (+/-sigma).
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