期刊
NEW ENGLAND JOURNAL OF MEDICINE
卷 352, 期 11, 页码 1138-1145出版社
MASSACHUSETTS MEDICAL SOC
DOI: 10.1056/NEJMsr043743
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资金
- NIA NIH HHS [K02 AG00785-05, AG00979-05] Funding Source: Medline
- NIDDK NIH HHS [1R01DK59240] Funding Source: Medline
Forecasts of life expectancy are an important component of public policy that influence age-based entitlement programs such as Social Security and Medicare. Although the Social Security Administration recently raised its estimates of how long Americans are going to live in the 21st century, current trends in obesity in the United States suggest that these estimates may not be accurate. From our analysis of the effect of obesity on longevity, we conclude that the steady rise in life expectancy during the past two centuries may soon come to an end.
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