4.8 Article

Does electricity consumption panel Granger cause GDP? A new global evidence

期刊

APPLIED ENERGY
卷 87, 期 10, 页码 3294-3298

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ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2010.03.021

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Real GDP; Electricity consumption; Panel Granger causality

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The goal of this paper is to undertake a panel data investigation of long-run Granger causality between electricity consumption and real GDP for seven panels, which together consist of 93 countries. We use a new panel causality test and find that in the long-run both electricity consumption and real GDP have a bidirectional Granger causality relationship except for the Middle East where causality runs only from GDP to electricity consumption. Finally, for the G6 panel the estimates reveal a negative sign effect, implying that increasing electricity consumption in the six most industrialised nations will reduce GDP. (C) 2010 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

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