期刊
JOURNAL OF QUANTITATIVE CRIMINOLOGY
卷 21, 期 4, 页码 365-390出版社
SPRINGER/PLENUM PUBLISHERS
DOI: 10.1007/s10940-005-7354-7
关键词
race; death penalty; logistic regression; propensity scores; classification and regression trees; random forests
In this paper, we re-analyze data used to study the role of race in capital cases in the state of Maryland. We show that when alternative, and arguably more appropriate, statistical procedures are applied, the racial effects reported in early work turn out to be very fragile. The methodological point is more general: conventional causal modeling with observational data is not likely to produce robust results for a variety of criminal justice applications.
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