期刊
ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
卷 194, 期 4, 页码 395-404出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2005.10.037
关键词
population dynamics; environmental variability; hydrology; mosquitoes; swamp water; density-independent effects; population model; habitat availability
类别
We develop a swamp water mosquito population model that is forced solely by environmental variability. Measured temperature and land surface wetness conditions are used to simulate Anopheles walkeri population dynamics in a northern New Jersey habitat. Land surface wetness conditions, which represent oviposition habitat availability, are derived from simulations using a dynamic hydrology model. Using only these two density-independent effects, population model simulations of biting Anoph. walkeri correlate significantly with light trap collections. These results suggest that prediction of mosquito populations and the diseases they transmit could be better constrained by inclusion of environmental variability. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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