Geostatistical estimation of the transmissivity in a highly fractured metamorphic and crystalline aquifer (Man-Danane Region, Western Ivory Coast)

This work is aimed at estimating the transmissivity of highly fractured hard rock aquifers using a geostatistical approach. The studied aquifer is formed by the crystalline and metamorphic rocks of the Western Ivory Coast (West Africa), in the Man Danane area. The study area covers 7290 km(2) (90 km x 81 km). The fracturing network is dense and well connected, without a marked fracture direction. A data base comprising 118 transmissivity (T) values and 154 specific capacity (Q/s) values was compiled. A significant empirical relationship between T and Q/s was found, which enabled the transmissivity data to be supplemented. The variographic analysis of the two variables showed that the variograms of T and Q/s (which are lognormal variables) are much more structured than those of log T and log Q/s (which are normal variables). This result is contrary to what was previously published and raises the question whether normality is necessary in geostatistical analysis. Several input and geostatistical estimations of the transmissivity were tested using the cross validation procedure: measured transmissivity data; supplemented transmissivity data; kriging; cokriging. The cross validation results showed that the best estimation is provided using the kriging procedure, the transmissivity field represented by the whole data sample (measured + estimated using specific capacity) and the structural model evaluated solely on the measured transmissivity. The geostatistical approach provided in fine a reliable estimation of the transmissivity of the Man Danane aquifer, which will be used as an input in forthcoming modelling. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.