Prognostic value of interleukin 6, procalcitonin, and C-reactive protein levels in intensive care unit patients during first increase of fever

To investigate the prognostic value of interleukin 6 (IL-6), procalcitonin (PCT), and C-reactive protein (CRP) in critically ill patients during the first increase of fever, serum levels were measured in 38 patients admitted to intensive care unit of the Department of Medicine, Klinikum Grobhadern, University of Munich, immediately after increase of body temperature above 38.3 degrees C. Ten healthy controls were also included for comparison. The onset of fever was accompanied by elevated circulating levels of all the 3 markers in comparison with healthy controls. However, only IL-6 levels were significantly higher (P < 0.05) in nonsurvivors (n = 21) compared with survivors. Sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values calculated from median levels was higher for IL-6 compared with PCT and CRP. Areas under receiver characteristic operating curves revealed the highest area under the curve for IL-6 in contrast to PCT and CRP. These data suggest that IL-6 rather than PCT or CRP may be an early predictor of mortality in patients with onset of fever and identify patients, who need intensive monitoring to initiate appropriate therapy at an early stage.