4.5 Article

Problem structuring using computer-aided morphological analysis

期刊

JOURNAL OF THE OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETY
卷 57, 期 7, 页码 792-801

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TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1057/palgrave.jors.2602177

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morphological analysis; general morphology; problem structuring methods; typology analysis; OR-methods

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General morphological analysis (GMA) is a method for structuring and investigating the total set of relationships contained in multidimensional, usually non-quantiable, problem complexes. Pioneered by Fritz Zwickyat the California Institute of Technology in the 1930s and 1940s, it relies on a constructed parameter space, linked by way of logical relationships, rather than on causal relationships and a hierarchal structure. During the past 10 years, GMA has been computerized and extended for structuring and analysing complex policy spaces, developing futures scenarios and modelling strategy alternatives. This article gives a historical and theoretical background to GMA as a problem structuring method, compares it with a number of other 'soft- OR' methods, and presents a recent application in structuring a complex policy issue. The issue involves the development of an extended producer responsibility (EPR) system in Sweden.

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