期刊
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY
卷 91, 期 10-11, 页码 1414-1434出版社
ELSEVIER SCI LTD
DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2005.11.055
关键词
epistemic uncertainty; evidence theory; sensitivity analysis; uncertainty analysis; variance decomposition
Three applications of sampling-based sensitivity analysis in conjunction with evidence theory representations for epistemic uncertainty in model inputs are described: (i) an initial exploratory analysis to assess model behavior and provide insights for additional analysis; (ii) a stepwise analysis showing the incremental effects of uncertain variables on complementary cumulative belief functions and complementary cumulative plausibility functions; and (iii) a summary analysis showing a spectrum of variance-based sensitivity analysis results that derive from probability spaces that are consistent with the evidence space under consideration. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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