Why are ferns regularly over-represented on state and provincial rare plant lists?

Several recent studies have suggested that rare species are not randomly distributed throughout plant taxa. This would appear to apply to North American ferns, which are frequently over-represented on local lists of rare plant species. However, such lists often paint a skewed portrait of the true situation because of our tendency to recognize the rarity of well-known and charismatic species while ignoring that of lesser-known or less-appreciated species. In order to verify if this over-representation of ferns is a real and consistent trend throughout local floras in North America, we used data from what we consider to be the most complete and objective available database: NatureServe Explorer (http://www.natureserve.org/explorer/). We compiled data on total vascular plant species, total fern species, as well as rare vascular plant species and rare fern species for each North American subnational (Canadian province or US state) flora. Rare species were defined as those belonging to one of NatureServe's 'at risk' categories. The null hypothesis that the contribution of rare ferns to total rare species did not differ from their contribution to the total vascular flora was assessed using chi(2). Out of 64 subnational floras, we obtained significantly higher values than expected in 28 cases, and significantly lower in only one case. Similar trends hold true for individual fern families. These tendencies could be related to several factors of anthropogenic, biological, climatological, evolutionary, and geographical origin. However, we believe that the main reason is related to scale, namely the geopolitical units at which rarity is often studied. Our results illustrate one of the problems of a parochial approach to conservation, where the perceived rarity of an entire taxon is exaggerated because of the scale at which rarity is addressed.