Prospects for direct dark matter detection in the constrained MSSM

We outline the WIMP dark matter parameter space in the constrained MSSM by performing a comprehensive statistical analysis that compares with experimental data predicted superpartner masses and other collider observables as well as a cold dark matter abundance. We include uncertainties arising from theoretical approximations as well as from residual experimental errors on relevant Standard Model parameters. We present high-probability regions for neutralino dark matter direct detection cross section, and we find that 10(-10)pb less than or similar to sigma(SI)(P) less than or similar to ph for direct WIMP detection (with details slightly dependent on the assumptions made). We highlight a complementarity between LHC and WIMP dark matter searches in exploring the CMSSM parameter space. We conclude that most of the 95% probability region for the cross section will be explored by future one-tonne detectors, that will therefore cover most of the currently favoured region of parameter space. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.