期刊
COASTAL ENGINEERING
卷 54, 期 5, 页码 393-400出版社
ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2006.11.003
关键词
sea-levels; extreme value models; Bayesian inference; Markov chain Monte Carlo; return value
This paper considers the problem of estimating long-term predictions of significant wave-height. A method which combines Bayesian methodology and extreme value techniques is adopted. Inferences are based on the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm implemented in an appropriate Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme. The method is applied to obtain return values of extreme values of significant wave height collected on the northern North Sea. The results are compared with those obtained by Guedes Soares and Scotto [Guedes Scares, C. and Scotto, M.G., 2004. Application of the r-order statistics for long-term predictions of significant wave heights. Coastal Engineering, 51, 387-394]. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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