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Advantages and challenges of Bayesian networks in environmental modelling

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ECOLOGICAL MODELLING
卷 203, 期 3-4, 页码 312-318

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ELSEVIER
DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2006.11.033

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Bayesian networks; Bayes nets; probabilistic networks; influence diagrams; modelling

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Bayesian networks (BNs) are an increasingly popular method of modelling uncertain and complex domains such as ecosystems and environmental management. At best, they provide a robust and mathematically coherent framework for the analysis of this kind of problems. However, there are certain pitfalls as well. In this paper, I summarise the pros and cons of the use of Bayesian networks especially in the context of environmental modelling and management. I will also give references to relevant publications, and introduce some software products that can be used to build Bayesian networks. (C) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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