期刊
WATER INTERNATIONAL
卷 32, 期 3, 页码 342-359出版社
ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD
DOI: 10.1080/02508060708692215
关键词
flooding; climate change; strategy; adaptation
Recent work on climatic change indicates that the frequency and severity of flooding in many Parts of the world could increase due to major changes in the hydroclimatic regime and a continuing rise in mean sea level. Changes in the magnitude and intensity of precipitation and the timing of runoff will increase riverine flooding, including the occurrence of midwinter ice-jam floods in northern rivers. Higher sea levels will increase the likelihood of coastal flooding and problems with urban infrastructure draining to tidal estuaries. Unless action is taken to lessen the vulnerability of human settlements, flood damages will increase. Adaptation strategies are needed that identify and direct development away from flood-prone areas, and incorporate infrastructure design criteria that take a changing climate into account. In this paper, a methodological approach to developing strategies for flood management is presented. After considering the occurrence and potential consequences of floods, and the importance and means of flood management, the impacts of climate change on flood mitigation are considered. Key elements of a generic adaptive strategy for flood plain management are then proposed, and, finally, the implementation of a flood management program is discussed.
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