期刊
JOURNAL OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY
卷 55, 期 5-6, 页码 803-816出版社
SPRINGER HEIDELBERG
DOI: 10.1007/s00285-007-0112-8
关键词
basic reproduction number; emerging infectious disease; epidemics
We investigate the merit of deriving an estimate of the basic reproduction number R-0 early in an outbreak of an (emerging) infection from estimates of the incidence and generation interval only. We compare such estimates of R-0 with estimates incorporating additional model assumptions, and determine the circumstances under which the different estimates are consistent. We show that one has to be careful when using observed exponential growth rates to derive an estimate of R-0, and we quantify the discrepancies that arise.
作者
我是这篇论文的作者
点击您的名字以认领此论文并将其添加到您的个人资料中。
推荐
暂无数据