4.6 Article

The influence of ENSO on South American precipitation during austral summer and autumn in observations and models

期刊

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY
卷 36, 期 2, 页码 618-635

出版社

WILEY
DOI: 10.1002/joc.4371

关键词

Canonical ENSO; Modoki ENSO; SSTA; equatorial Pacific; precipitation; South America

资金

  1. Science Without Borders Project
  2. CNPq (Brazilian National Council for Scientific and Technological Development)
  3. NERC SAPRISE project [NE/I022841/1]
  4. Natural Environment Research Council [NE/I022841/1] Funding Source: researchfish
  5. NERC [NE/I022841/1] Funding Source: UKRI

向作者/读者索取更多资源

South American precipitation is observed to respond differently to different types of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, such as those in which the main signal in sea surface temperature (SST) occurs either in the eastern equatorial Pacific or central equatorial Pacific. This study investigates how Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) models represent different types of ENSO and how they represent teleconnections to South American precipitation. It is found that the CMIP5 models can represent the basic structure of SST anomalies that occur during different types of ENSO events and these are described using simple SST indices. Most of the CMIP5 models can reproduce the correct sign of precipitation anomalies in northeast South America during austral summer and autumn, in cases where the observed teleconnections are relatively strong. The same is also true of north South America in austral summer. In the east and southeast regions of South America, many models fail to reproduce the correct sign during both Canonical and Modoki/Central Pacific/Warm Pool ENSO events. The precipitation composites in Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP) models tend to agree with their CMIP5 counterparts, so we conclude that the errors in teleconnections are not principally driven by mean SST biases. Precipitation teleconnections in the northern regions are shown to be linked to variations in the Walker circulation in models, with the exception of that in north South America during March-May. During March-May, composite precipitation in southeast South America is related to wave trains emanating from the equator.

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