期刊
ADVANCES IN CLIMATE CHANGE RESEARCH
卷 2, 期 3, 页码 124-133出版社
SCIENCE PRESS
DOI: 10.3724/SP.J.1248.2011.00124
关键词
dynamic energy-environment-economy CGE model; carbon tax; mitigation effect; economic impact
资金
- National Natural Science Foundation of China [70941034]
- Chinese Environmental Tax Project of Peking University-Lincoln Institute Center for Urban Development and Land Policy
In this paper we examine the impacts of carbon tax policy on CO2 mitigation effects and economic growth in China by using a dynamic energy-environment-economy computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The results show that 30, 60, and 90 RMB per ton CO2 of carbon tax rate will lead to a reduction of CO2 emissions by 4.52%, 8.59%, and 12.26%, as well as a decline in the GDP by 0.11%, 0.25%, and 0.39% in 2020, respectively, if carbon tax revenues are collected by the government. Moreover, with energy efficiency improvements the CO2 emission per unit of GDP will equally drop by 34.79%, 37.49%, and 39.92% in 2020, respectively. Negative impacts on sectors and households will be alleviated if carbon tax revenues are returned to these sectors and households.
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